![]() Prescott ranks seventh in EPA/dropback when facing no pressure this year and leads the NFL in the same metric when under duress. I know what you’re going to say: “Here we gooooo” with the Cowboys love, but pass catchers CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks and Jake Ferguson are almost impossible to stop whether defenses pressure Prescott or not. But if the offense has a bad game and an opposing offense finds success on the ground, an upset is primed to unfold.īecause when Dak Prescott is healthy, the Cowboys have been one of the best offenses in the NFL for years. Will it matter? Probably not if the 49ers offense is firing. Add the Cowboys to that group when looking at the rushing success rate. The Eagles, Rams and Packers all rank top 10 in EPA/rush. Though the AFC doesn’t have many potent rushing attacks, the NFC does. If you can consistently gain yards on the 49ers, you keep their offense off the field, and that’s the best defense you can play against that unit. Maybe there is something to this strategy!Įither way, the recipe is simple. 1 seeds are great in every area except for defending the run. ![]() He has built an offensive juggernaut that, when healthy, looks unstoppable.īecause the defense has started to slip a little, especially against the run. And coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the best minds in the game. With Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and Trent Williams, the 49ers are an all-star team. What they’ve done on offense this year has been incredible but not unbelievable. ![]() The 49ers rank first - and by a wide margin in some cases - in EPA/play, success rate, EPA/dropback, dropback success rate and EPA/rush. San Francisco 49ersĬurrent Super Bowl odds, per The Athletic’s model: 27.9 percentīecause the 49ers are right on par with the Ravens as the most balanced team in the league - but with a better offense. We’re going to take a data-driven look at what needs to go right and what needs to go wrong for each team to hit the jackpot in the desert in early February or to start creating their draft board in January.Īll stats are via TruMedia or unless otherwise stated. As a tradition, I’m going to run through each team and touch on why I think they’ll win the Super Bowl and why they won’t. ![]()
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